"If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion." George Bernard Shaw
That quote has been running through my brain lately, had to google to find the author. What kindled the whole thing was realizing, given the accuracy (or rather lack of) demonstrated recently by all of our so called fiscal wizards on affairs to date as they attempt to predict what business models are going to survive, and comments from people I trust (i.e. the dedicated hounds on these boards), is it at all possible to make predictions and/or form an effective plan of action?
Distilling it down, I seem to hear a consensus that:
1. Most chains will survive due to having a solid capital base.
2. High end independants will fail more due to high operating costs and a reduced customer base.
3. Low end (read mostly ethnic) will do better or at least survive as more cash strapped customers are driven to their establishments.
The above are by no means supported by any studies (at least to my knowledge), but if there is any basis for them I'd like to put together my own personal rotation list of places I don't want to disappear. I was thinking of maybe a Top 10 list, for example:
1. Zamora's at 950 N. Fresno, for well.... about everything
2. Jim's Chinese, First St. just north of Sam's Deli - Chinese Chicken Salad (and much more)
3. Smokey's - Tulare & D St. - BBQ ribs, collard greens, Basa fish sand/dinner, & much more
4. Cafe Leon - Ashlan & Blackstone, - huevos rancheros, and much more
5. Julia's - Divisadero & H - huevose rancheros, and much more
There are other obvious ones, Don Pepe's, El Toro Cafe, Hunan, Imperial Garden, Sam's Deli, and on the higher end Parma and Trelio in Clovis, but at least for the time being, it seems their loyal customer base is keeping them out of danger.
I'd love to add La Cabana in North Fork and Don Fernando's up in the foothills, but I couldn't realistically have them on any sort of regular rotation.
So, the challenge to the local hounds, who do you want to see the rest of us support on a regular basis to get through this economic clusterf*ck (all credits to Jon Stewart)?